{
 "at": "2026-10-23T01:47:02Z",
 "source": "https://sg.tips/answers",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0",
 "note": "Recomputed hourly from public prediction-market trades and positions. Tips only displays data.",
 "answers": [
  {
   "question": "Who are the best Polymarket sports traders?",
   "answer": "As of 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC, the most profitable Polymarket sports trader tracked by SG Tips is beachboy4, with $10,364,010 in sports P&L over 40 matches and a 73.8% hit rate. SG Tips analyses 615,411 Polymarket accounts; 4,740 of them (0.8%) are listed as profitable pros.",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/best-polymarket-sports-traders"
  },
  {
   "question": "Who are the best Kalshi sports traders?",
   "answer": "As of 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC, the most profitable Kalshi sports trader tracked by SG Tips is WorkerTrader, with $1,142,067 in sports P&L over 413 matches and a 72.6% hit rate. SG Tips analyses 186,708 Kalshi accounts; 5,011 of them (2.7%) are listed as profitable pros.",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/best-kalshi-sports-traders"
  },
  {
   "question": "Does copying pro prediction-market traders work?",
   "answer": "Not reliably. As of 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC, only 1.2% of the 805,711 prediction-market accounts SG Tips analyses are listed as profitable pros. Among the 2,490 pros ranked on the last 30 days, the median hit rate was 56.3% (middle half: 47.3%–66.7%), and 65% of them were below the 62.5% at which the Polymarket favourite simply won.",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/does-copying-prediction-market-traders-work"
  },
  {
   "question": "Polymarket vs Kalshi for sports: which is more accurate?",
   "answer": "They are almost tied. On the 4,302 sports matches priced by both platforms in the last 30 days (to 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC), the Polymarket favourite won 64.3% and the Kalshi favourite won 64.4%; both picked the same favourite in 97.9% of matches. Brier score (lower is better): Polymarket 0.459, Kalshi 0.459.",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/polymarket-vs-kalshi-sports-accuracy"
  },
  {
   "question": "How accurate is Polymarket for sports?",
   "answer": "In the last 30 days (to 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC), the Polymarket favourite won 62.5% of 5,927 finished sports matches, using the last price within 24 hours before kick-off. Favourites priced 75–90% won 84.5% (average price 81.4%), and those priced 90% or more won 93.4% (average price 93.9%).",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/how-accurate-is-polymarket-for-sports"
  },
  {
   "question": "What percent of Polymarket traders are profitable?",
   "answer": "Very few. As of 2026-10-23 01:47 UTC, SG Tips analyses the sports records of 615,411 Polymarket accounts and lists 4,740 of them (0.77%) as profitable pros. On Kalshi it is 5,011 of 186,708 (2.68%), and on SX Bet 190 of 3,592 (5.29%).",
   "url": "https://sg.tips/answers/what-percent-of-polymarket-traders-are-profitable"
  }
 ]
}