Polymarket · Football
Tragic-Gaffe is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 65 picks, 67.8% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 30 won, 24 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 37 | 37 | 24 | 64.9% |
| Premier League | 14 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| UEFA Nations League | 6 | 0 | 0 | — |
| UEFA Europa League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
Tragic-Gaffe mainly predicts World Cup: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.8% hit rate over 65 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 37.9%. In World Cup, 24 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-03 01:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) UEFA Nations League | Ukraine to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) UEFA Nations League | Slovakia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) UEFA Nations League | Hungary to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) Romania men's national association football team (Romania) UEFA Nations League | Poland to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) UEFA Nations League | Sweden to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | France Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | France to win | Pending |
| 2026-09-20 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1–0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1–0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1–0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Everton FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea FC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | PFC CSKA Sofia (PFK CSKA Sofia) 1–3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | PFC CSKA Sofia (PFK CSKA Sofia) 1–3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | PFC CSKA Sofia (PFK CSKA Sofia) 1–3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | Colombia to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5–1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia to win | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador to win | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Scotland to win | Won |