Kalshi
Public prediction record of fair.stress on Kalshi: 20 entries, 75.0% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 30 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 30 have settled: 18 won, 12 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 12 | 70.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| College Football | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| College Baseball | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
LLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma Sooners College Football | Will Oklahoma win the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game? | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | San Francisco 1–3 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Francisco Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | St. Louis 0–4 Miami MLB | Miami vs St. Louis Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Minnesota 9–8 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Minnesota Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | San Diego 7–1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs San Diego Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 6–8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Pittsburgh Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Chicago WS 2–1 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Chicago WS Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Miami Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Miami Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Baltimore 7–2 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Baltimore Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Atlanta 3–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Los Angeles Angels 8–9 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles A Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Seattle 3–2 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Seattle Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Texas A&M USC College Baseball | USC vs Texas A&M winner? | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | St. Louis Texas MLB | Texas vs St. Louis Winner? | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Tampa Bay 0–8 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Tampa Bay Winner? | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | St. Louis 5–1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner? | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner? | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Toronto 8–1 Miami MLB | Miami vs Toronto Winner? | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Cleveland 93–130 New NBA | Game 4: New York at Cleveland Winner? | Won |