Kalshi · Basketball
Public prediction record of chief.hope on Kalshi: 14 entries, 64.3% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Summer League | 13 | 13 | 8 | 61.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Major League Soccer | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| College Football | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27–41 Oregon Ducks College Football | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17–20 Texas Longhorns College Football | TEX +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6–5 Houston MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 0–0 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) LigaPro | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98–87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | PSV Eindhoven (Eindhoven) 2–2 Sittard Eredivisie | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 3–0 AC Milan Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Milan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 82–86 Freseros de Irapuato LNBP | Freseros de Irapuato vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico men's Mexico LNBP game: Freseros de Irapuato wins | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx 82–89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 2–3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Artis 2–4 Mlada Boleslav Czech First League | Artis vs Mlada Boleslav Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 2–0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | D.C. United (D.C. United SC) 2–1 Toronto FC Major League Soccer | DC United vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. (Bolton) 0–0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Club Friendlies | Bolton vs Everton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1–2 New York City FC Major League Soccer | Columbus vs New York City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Nashville SC 1–0 Montreal Major League Soccer | Nashville vs Montreal Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia 3–1 Red Bull New York (New York RB) Major League Soccer | Philadelphia vs New York RB Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | New England 0–0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer | New England vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F vs Salt Lake Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 110–88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Revenge 1–2 ORA Temper Valorant | Revenge to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3–2 Kansas City Major League Soccer | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91–110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88–100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82–77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93–94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Indiana to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Milwaukee 80–90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82–104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston 87–75 Charlotte NBA Summer League | Charlotte to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3–1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 4–2 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85–91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92–88 Utah NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Differdange 03 (Differdange) 0–0 FC Ilves (Ilves) UEFA Conference League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Utah 103–69 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Utah 109–100 Memphis NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89–90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Lost |