Kalshi · Basketball
Public prediction record of regulatory.wren4563 on Kalshi: 15 entries, 73.3% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 19 | 46.3% |
| NBA Summer League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Portland Fire 98–112 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 206.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Memphis 90–94 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Memphis 90–94 Golden NBA Summer League | MEM +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81–86 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90–99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Under 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | New 77–87 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Golden 104–79 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Golden 98–69 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Golden State Gold to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98–90 Chicago Sky WNBA | CHI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | COL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | POR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Las Vegas Aces 92–73 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 164.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7–1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Victor Wembanyama: Triple Double | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Seattle Storm 83–88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | NYK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Las Vegas Aces 101–91 Seattle Storm WNBA | LV +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |