Kalshi · Basketball · Football
Public prediction record of sincere.mastiff8531 on Kalshi: 21 entries, 66.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 46 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 46 have settled: 27 won, 19 lost, 58.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fifa Friendly | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Chinese Super League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| LaLiga 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
WLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Detroit Tigers 9–10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) 1–0 Club Deportivo Garcilaso (Deportivo Garcilaso) Liga 1 | CRI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0–0 Vasteraas SK Allsvenskan | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3–1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Saitama Seibu Lions 6–1 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Samsung Lions 9–2 LG Twins KBO | LG Twins vs Samsung Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Fukuoka Hawks 1–8 Chiba Lotte Marines NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Hawks winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Lokomotiv Kuban (BC Lokomotiv Kuban) 85–81 Zenit Saint Petersburg VTB United League | Zenit Saint Petersburg vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) 1–2 Turkiye Fifa Friendly | Venezuela vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Over 216.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 5–1 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Fifa Friendly | Mexico vs Serbia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Indiana Fever 83–71 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 157.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | EC Pinheiros SP 92–94 Franca Basquetebol Clube (Franca BC) Brazil NBB Basketball | Franca BC vs EC Pinheiros SP Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–1 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) Fifa Friendly | ESP +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | France 1–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) Fifa Friendly | FRA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 1–1 Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) Fifa Friendly | Slovenia vs Cyprus Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 1–1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Fifa Friendly | Georgia vs Romania Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 3–0 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Fifa Friendly | Cape Verde vs Serbia Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0–2 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Fifa Friendly | Poland vs Ukraine Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 2–1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Fifa Friendly | Czechia vs Kosovo Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Degerfors IF 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 3–2 Hammarby Fotboll (Hammarby IF) Allsvenskan | BK Hacken vs Hammarby Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger F.C. (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger) 1–0 Dalian Yingbo F.C. (Dalian Yingbo FC) Chinese Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Dalian Yingbo FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Singapore 4–0 Mongolia men's national football team (Mongolia) Fifa Friendly | Singapore vs Mongolia Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Fifa Friendly | Japan vs Iceland Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Real Sociedad B 1–1 Cultural Leonesa LaLiga 2 | Real Sociedad B vs Cultural Leonesa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Ceuta 1–0 Albacete Balompié (Albacete) LaLiga 2 | Ceuta vs Albacete Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Real Sociedad B 1–1 Cultural Leonesa LaLiga 2 | Real Sociedad B vs Cultural Leonesa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Zimbabwe men's national football team (Zimbabwe) 1–0 India men's national football team (India) Fifa Friendly | Zimbabwe vs India Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) 1–0 Shandong Taishan Chinese Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Qingdao Qingchundao F.C. (Qingdao West Coast FC) 2–2 Shanghai Shenhua F.C. (Shanghai Shenhua) Chinese Super League | Qingdao West Coast FC vs Shanghai Shenhua Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | Sao Paulo 2–0 Boston River Copa Sudamericana | Sao Paulo vs Boston River Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) 2–0 Zimbabwe men's national football team (Zimbabwe) Fifa Friendly | Nigeria vs Zimbabwe Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 5–0 Burundi men's national football team (Burundi) Fifa Friendly | Morocco vs Burundi Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Aucas 3–1 Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) LigaPro | Aucas vs Manta Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC 1–0 Seattle Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Miami FC 6–4 Philadelphia Major League Soccer | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |