Kalshi · Basketball · Football
Public prediction record of tax.path on Kalshi: 31 entries, 64.5% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Summer League | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| WNBA | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire 97–83 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 8–7 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 109–113 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 204.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Defensa y Justicia 1–1 Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) Liga Profesional | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97–101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 189.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Texas Rangers 2–4 Chicago WS MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Indiana Fever 123–88 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Over 212.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Boston Red Sox 7–6 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Yomiuri Giants 1–5 Chunichi Dragons NPB | CHU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128–120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | LAC -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128–120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128–120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100–83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Houston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87–97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | LAC -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 198.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 192.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | WAS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | SAS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | UTA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 161.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75–88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 158.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76–82 Boston NBA Summer League | Over 147.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91–110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Over 192.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Detroit 88–100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Under 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88–100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 192.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114–98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Over 203.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Golden 104–79 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | GSW -18.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Golden 104–79 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Under 177.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston 87–75 Charlotte NBA Summer League | Over 164.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Chunichi Dragons 1–5 Hiroshima Toyo Carp NPB | Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 4–2 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106–92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 195.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66–77 Chicago Sky WNBA | PHX +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | San Diego 0–8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Seattle 1–0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1–3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1–3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | NED +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Golden State Valkyries 77–66 Atlanta Dream WNBA | GS +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 2–1 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Seattle Storm 72–76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Athletics 14–15 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs A's Winner | Won |