Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
PaulDouglas is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 72 picks, 61.1% win rate, $239 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 49 | 49 | 29 | 59.2% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
PaulDouglas mainly predicts MLB: 49 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.1% hit rate over 72 orders, P&L $239, ROI 25.9%. In MLB, 29 of 49 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-14 07:55 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Detroit Tigers 2–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | San Diego Padres 6–2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 4–2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5–8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Texas Rangers 2–4 Chicago WS MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Colorado Rockies 3–7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10–7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13–4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Atlanta Dream 101–92 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Diego Padres 8–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Miami Marlins 1–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Texas 3–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | New York Mets 0–4 Boston MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Tampa Bay 6–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Detroit 2–4 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | San Francisco 8–2 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Texas 6–7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Chicago WS 1–2 Boston MLB | Boston vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Tampa Bay 4–12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | St. Louis 4–8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | San Diego 10–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Texas 1–13 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | St. Louis 4–8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Washington 8–2 Houston MLB | Houston vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Tampa Bay 4–12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay 3–0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Miami 2–0 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | St. Louis 3–4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Kansas City 1–15 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Texas 3–6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 6–4 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Athletics 2–7 Miami MLB | Miami vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Kansas City 1–6 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Athletics 5–12 Miami MLB | Miami vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |