Kalshi · Football
aaron15 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 22 picks, 72.7% win rate, $460 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 36 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 36 have settled: 21 won, 15 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 19 | 19 | 14 | 73.7% |
| NWSL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Fifa Friendly | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
aaron15 mainly predicts World Cup: 19 of the last 36 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.7% hit rate over 22 orders, P&L $460, ROI 37.9%. In World Cup, 14 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-28 01:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24–16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1–0 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Pedri: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 2–2 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | San Luis 0–3 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Bay FC 1–2 Kansas City Current NWSL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Tigre 0–0 Barracas Liga Profesional | Tigre wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2–2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Beitar Jerusalem F.C. (Beitar Jerusalem) 2–3 Larnaca UEFA Conference League | Beitar Jerusalem vs Larnaca: Larnaca To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Utah Royals FC 0–1 Washington NWSL | Utah Royals vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1–2 Germany Fifa Friendly | USA vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 1–1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileirão Série A | Cruzeiro vs Fluminense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Fifa Friendly | USA vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Washington 4–9 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | PSG vs Arsenal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | San Diego Wave FC 0–1 Orlando Pride NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Orlando Winner | Lost |