Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
Public prediction record of abledgrain on Kalshi: 18 entries, 66.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| NBA Summer League | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| NPB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7–5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7–5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4–6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3–4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Minnesota Twins 2–0 Athletics MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Chicago WS 1–4 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0–11 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Chicago WS 1–4 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Tampa Bay Rays 11–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Chicago WS 5–9 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Pittsburgh Pirates 2–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Athletics 15–1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 101–87 Detroit NBA Summer League | Over 186.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108–94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | San 94–82 Utah NBA Summer League | UTA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76–82 Boston NBA Summer League | BOS -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Charlotte 91–110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | CHA +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Oklahoma 103–106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | OKC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 99–85 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | LAC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Chicago 99–87 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 4–5 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 3–1 Orix Buffaloes NPB | Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Saitama Seibu Lions 2–1 Chiba Lotte Marines NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Milwaukee 80–90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | MIL +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington 104–85 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | WAS +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Utah 82–104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | UTA -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105–112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Toronto Tempo 125–97 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | TOR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Diego 2–5 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3–1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | San Diego 7–6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 11–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Detroit 2–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Indiana Fever 86–77 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Sophie Cunningham: 2+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Indiana Fever 86–77 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Atlanta Dream 94–87 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Connecticut Sun 92–63 Chicago Sky WNBA | CHI -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Minnesota 3–12 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 98–97 New York Liberty WNBA | Breanna Stewart: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 98–97 New York Liberty WNBA | Nneka Ogwumike: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | NED -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Dallas Wings 93–92 Chicago Sky WNBA | Skylar Diggins: 2+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113–96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Sophie Cunningham: 2+ threes | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113–96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |