Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
Public prediction record of constant.narwhal on Kalshi: 26 entries, 69.2% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 46 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 46 have settled: 25 won, 21 lost, 54.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 23 | 23 | 15 | 65.2% |
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Cleveland Guardians 5–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Philadelphia Phillies 10–7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Baltimore 7–9 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | New York Yankees 1–6 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | New York Yankees 4–11 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1–6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Houston 3–8 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | New York Yankees 2–6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | New York Yankees 3–9 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Detroit 5–7 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Gio Reyna: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Detroit 0–8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Diego 2–5 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | St. Louis 4–9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 11–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Detroit 5–4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8–16 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Houston 2–1 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Tampa Bay 3–4 Washington MLB | Washington vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Tampa Bay 3–4 Washington MLB | Washington vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Raul Jimenez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Boston 3–4 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Boston 3–4 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Seattle Storm 83–88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Las Vegas Aces 101–91 Seattle Storm WNBA | LV +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Over 216.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Indiana Fever 83–71 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103–111 San Antonio NBA | Isaiah Hartenstein: 10+ points | Lost |