Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
Public prediction record of dark.grin on Kalshi: 24 entries, 70.8% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 48 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 48 have settled: 29 won, 19 lost, 60.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NPB | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| LNBP | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 5–5 Fukuoka Hawks NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4–6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9–7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Saitama Seibu Lions 2–1 Fukuoka Hawks NPB | Fukuoka Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 82–86 Freseros de Irapuato LNBP | Freseros de Irapuato vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico men's Mexico LNBP game: Diablos Rojos Del Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 6–2 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Chunichi Dragons 5–1 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2–2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1–1 LA Galaxy Major League Soccer | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | BAL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 New York Yankees MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 2–1 Aucas LigaPro | Orense vs Aucas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New York Mets 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6–9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Chicago Cubs 6–8 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7–1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7–1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Over 183.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | Golden State Valkyries 90–88 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Under 217.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Seattle Storm 64–78 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH +13.5 | Lost |