Kalshi · Baseball · Football
dead.waste is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 66.7% win rate, $428 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 31 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Serie A | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| College Football | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
dead.waste mainly predicts World Cup: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $428, ROI 42.7%. In World Cup, 12 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-13 11:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0–0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–0 Atlanta Braves MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Cagliari Calcio 1–0 US Lecce Serie A | Cagliari wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | Clemson to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 2–1 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Liberty 111–71 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs New York women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 3–1 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Marseille vs Bilbao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 3–1 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0–3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0–3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Detroit Tigers 4–5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) 2–4 Molde FK Eliteserien | KFUM Oslo vs Molde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) 0–1 Dunfermline Athletic F.C. (Dunfermline) Scottish Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Copenhagen 3–2 Lyngby Boldklub (Lyngby BK) Superliga | Copenhagen vs Lyngby Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Karlsruhe 1–2 Inter Milan (Inter) Club Friendlies | Karlsruhe vs Inter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 2–3 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Leeds United vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) 1–2 Trinidense APF División de Honor | Cerro Porteno vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Rosenborg BK 0–5 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Rosenborg vs Manchester United Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | AFC Bournemouth 4–1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Club Friendlies | Bournemouth vs St. Pauli Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) 1–2 Singapore ASEAN Championship | Cambodia vs Singapore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Amiens SC (Amiens) 0–1 Boulogne Club Friendlies | Amiens vs Boulogne Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Malisheva 2–0 Hibernian F.C. (Hibernian FC) UEFA Conference League | Malisheva vs Hibernian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) Club Friendlies | Bologna vs Heidenheim Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 3–0 Blackburn Rovers F.C. (Blackburn) Club Friendlies | Nottingham vs Blackburn Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | BRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Detroit 2–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | JOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |