Kalshi · Baseball · Football
Public prediction record of formal.deer on Kalshi: 21 entries, 66.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 28 won, 30 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Football | 15 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| UEFA Nations League | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | ESP +1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) UEFA Nations League | England wins 1st Half | Pending |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0–0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) UEFA Nations League | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Las Vegas Aces 102–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | LV +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27–41 Oregon Ducks College Football | ORE +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Queretaro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41–13 Oklahoma College Football | UGA -30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41–13 Oklahoma College Football | UGA -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Auburn Tigers 21–15 Vanderbilt Commodores College Football | AUB +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41–13 Oklahoma College Football | UGA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 6–5 Houston MLB | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 58–7 Howard Bison College Football | RUTG -54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17–21 Army Black Knights College Football | TEM +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | New York Yankees Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–4 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Phoenix Mercury 82–100 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV +15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2–4 Minnesota MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Las Vegas Aces 98–77 Seattle Storm WNBA | LV +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Sparks 105–84 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20–13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Cardinals 7–31 SEA Seahawks NFL | SEA +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14–26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Indiana Fever 77–93 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14–26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | LAC +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20–24 PHI Eagles NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Juventus FC 2–0 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Juventus wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1–1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Atletico wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Frosinone Calcio 2–0 Como 1907 Serie A | Como wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) 1–0 West Bromwich Albion F.C. (West Bromwich) The Championship | Wolverhampton wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52–38 Purdue Boilermakers College Football | UCLA -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | MISS -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | LSU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlanta Dream 106–81 Chicago Sky WNBA | ATL +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tampa Bay 2–1 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50–36 Florida State Seminoles College Football | Florida St. wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Iowa Hawkeyes 55–0 Northern Iowa Panthers College Football | IOWA -60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41–31 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Bilbao 0–0 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Bilbao wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Osasuna wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Osasuna wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Tottenham wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Juarez 2–0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84–0 Portland State Vikings College Football | ORE -58.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28–26 Houston College Football | TTU +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–3 Elche CF La Liga | ELC -1.5 | Won |