Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball · Football
illegal.crow is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 14 picks, 64.3% win rate, $608 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 22 won, 34 lost, 39.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 40 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| College Football | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
illegal.crow mainly predicts World Cup: 40 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.3% hit rate over 14 orders, P&L $608, ROI 86.1%. In World Cup, 13 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-30 06:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37–27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | Hawai'i to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Cal Poly Mustangs 38–34 Idaho Vandals College Football | Idaho wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Seattle Mariners 0–7 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Sergino Dest: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Gabriel Martinelli: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | 12+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Dailon Livramento: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | France wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Minnesota 3–12 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Paul Wanner: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assists | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6–0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6–0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | CAN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Martin Odegaard: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Michael Olise: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Son Heung-min: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | ARS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) UEFA Champions League | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127–114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Won |