Kalshi · Baseball
load.toy is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 68.8% win rate, $415 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 33 have settled: 17 won, 16 lost, 51.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| MLB | 17 | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
load.toy mainly predicts MLB: 17 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $415, ROI 35.9%. In MLB, 11 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-20 11:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4–6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7–1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Senegal wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Cleveland 2–4 Texas MLB | Texas vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Boston 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | San Francisco 2–3 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | San Francisco 2–3 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New York Mets 6–2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 4-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Detroit 4–1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7–1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Chicago WS Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Chicago WS Winner | Pending |
| 2026-06-10 | Kansas City 4–2 Texas MLB | Texas vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New York Mets 4–5 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | San Diego 3–5 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs San Diego Winner | Won |