Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
preston.conley is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 76.9% win rate, $246 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 38 won, 21 lost, 64.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 12 | 75.0% |
| College Football | 13 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 9 | 90.0% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
preston.conley mainly predicts MLB: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.9% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $246, ROI 27.1%. In MLB, 12 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 01:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) College Football | Over 51.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33–31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | WAS +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30–27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | IND -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Detroit 1–3 Washington MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11–14 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Portland Fire 90–82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Gabby Williams: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Auburn Tigers 43–8 Southern Miss Golden Eagles College Football | AUB -27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | BYU Cougars 28–17 Arizona College Football | BYU -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | Oklahoma to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas A&M Aggies 48–20 Arizona State Sun Devils College Football | TXAM -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | OKLA -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–1 Atletico UEFA Champions League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Atlanta Braves 1–7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) UEFA Champions League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals College Football | MISS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17–16 Baylor Bears College Football | AUB -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13–14 Colorado Buffaloes College Football | Over 18.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13–14 Colorado Buffaloes College Football | GT +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Seattle Storm 80–82 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Las Vegas Aces 87–92 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Olivia Miles: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | LA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | NYY +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Under 34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Sky 95–88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | CHI +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Atlanta Braves 4–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7–3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108–100 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Jackie Young: 2+ rebounds | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Portland Fire 98–112 Indiana Fever WNBA | Aliyah Boston: 10+ points | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91–89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | New York Mets 14–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Chicago WS 5–9 New York Yankees MLB | NYY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11–4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Baltimore Orioles 6–7 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | San Diego 10–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | BEL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |