Kalshi · Football
sad.hopeApollinaire is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 24 picks, 66.7% win rate, $555 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 39 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 39 have settled: 24 won, 15 lost, 61.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
| UEFA Conference League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Copa do Brasil | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| UAE Pro League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
sad.hopeApollinaire mainly predicts World Cup: 14 of the last 39 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 24 orders, P&L $555, ROI 14.2%. In World Cup, 10 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-12 12:35 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0–1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Queretaro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Dubai United 1–1 Shabab AlAhli Dubai Club (Shabab Al-Ahli) UAE Pro League | Shabab Al-Ahli wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Bay FC 1–2 Kansas City Current NWSL | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Al Ahly (EGY) 1–0 Smouha SC (Smouha) Egyptian Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kobe J1 League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 1–0 Tecnico Uni LigaPro | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 1–0 Melgar Liga 1 | Atletico Grau wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FK Jablonec 1–0 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) UEFA Conference League | Rangers To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | SK Rapid 2–2 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) UEFA Conference League | Heart of Midlothian To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SK Brann 0–1 Apollon Limassol FC (Apollon Limassol) UEFA Conference League | Brann vs Apollon Limassol Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 2–5 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Club Friendlies | Strasbourg Alsace vs Elversberg Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | KS Cracovia (Cracovia Krakow) 0–2 Pogoń Szczecin (Pogon Szczecin) Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | CD Recoleta 3–2 Club Nacional Asunción APF División de Honor | CD Recoleta vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) 0–3 Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) ASEAN Championship | Indonesia vs Vietnam Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 2–0 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Copa do Brasil | Internacional vs Corinthians Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 0–1 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Liga Profesional | River Plate vs Rosario Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 1–1 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Copa do Brasil | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 1–1 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Scottish Premiership | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1–1 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileirão Série B | Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | CFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | AFC Bournemouth 4–1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Club Friendlies | Bournemouth vs St. Pauli Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Liepaja 0–2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) UEFA Conference League | Liepaja vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Malisheva 2–0 Hibernian F.C. (Hibernian FC) UEFA Conference League | Malisheva vs Hibernian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |