Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball
stack.dawn is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 45 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 45 have settled: 25 won, 20 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 26 | 26 | 13 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
stack.dawn mainly predicts World Cup: 26 of the last 45 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 27.9%. In World Cup, 13 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-12 11:47 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 8–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Atlanta 6–7 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | MAR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Philadelphia 4–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Phoenix Mercury 76–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | SAS +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | SAS -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | SAS -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | SAS +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | SAS +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | SAS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103–111 San Antonio NBA | SAS +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | San Antonio 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | SAS -17.5 | Won |