Kalshi · Baseball · Football
ActivM4 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 66.7% win rate, $396 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Leagues Cup | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Major League Soccer | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
ActivM4 mainly predicts World Cup: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $396, ROI 44.3%. In World Cup, 6 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-01 10:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4–0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Fifa Friendly | Bolivia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pumas UNAM 2–3 San Luis Liga MX | San Luis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Final score CD Guadalajara wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 5–1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Reg Time: Toluca wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–2 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Leon 3–0 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Leon vs Salt Lake Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Philadelphia 2–2 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC 4–1 Inter Miami CF Major League Soccer | Nashville vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1–0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Inter Miami CF 1–2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1–1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | PSG vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 3–0 AC Milan Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Milan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1–3 Juarez Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Bucaramanga 1–1 Cúcuta Deportivo (Cucuta) Categoría Primera A | Bucaramanga vs Cucuta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Junin 2–1 Rivadavia Liga Profesional | Junin vs Rivadavia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–3 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–3 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Atlante FC wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | C.D. Tenerife (CD Tenerife) 2–2 Cádiz Club de Fútbol (Cádiz CF) Club Friendlies | Tenerife vs Cadiz Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | San Luis 0–0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | San Luis vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Chankas CYC 3–2 Comerciantes U. Liga 1 | Los Chankas CYC vs Comerciantes U. Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | AC Monza Aris Thessaloniki Club Friendlies | ARIS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Angels 4–7 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Frosinone Calcio 1–1 S.S. Sambenedettese Calcio (Sambenedettese) Club Friendlies | Frosinone vs Sambenedettese Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2–2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 2–0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Dynamo Kyiv (FK Dynamo Kyiv) 2–3 PAOK FC (PAOK) UEFA Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC 3–1 Seattle Major League Soccer | Austin vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3–2 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3–2 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3–2 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2–2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86–75 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105–112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Orlando to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105–112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Raul Jimenez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Lost |