Kalshi · Basketball · American football · Football
ChanceTadpole30 is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 62.5% win rate, $545 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 24 | 24 | 14 | 58.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| College Soccer | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
ChanceTadpole30 mainly predicts WNBA: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $545, ROI 34.9%. In WNBA, 14 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-09 23:50 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–1 Atletico UEFA Champions League | Final score Liverpool FC wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–1 Atletico UEFA Champions League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Georgetown Hoyas 14–45 Lehigh Mountain Hawks College Football | Lehigh wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Georgetown Hoyas 14–45 Lehigh Mountain Hawks College Football | Georgetown wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Georgetown Hoyas 14–45 Lehigh Mountain Hawks College Football | Georgetown wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Georgetown Hoyas 2–1 Rutgers Scarlet Knights College Soccer | Georgetown Hoyas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Georgetown Hoyas 1–1 North Carolina Tar Heels College Soccer | Georgetown Hoyas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Georgetown Hoyas 1–1 North Carolina Tar Heels College Soccer | North Carolina Tar Heels wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Washington Mystics 80–70 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | WSH -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando 1–0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Orlando 1–0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Orlando vs Nashville Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106–92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 198.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx 79–84 Washington Mystics WNBA | Under 163.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113–96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 201.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 207.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 215.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Reyer Venezia Mestre (Reyer Venezia) 72–86 Olimpia Milano Basketball Series A | Olimpia Milano vs Reyer Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Connecticut Sun 81–88 Washington Mystics WNBA | Under 154.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Ivan Perisic: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Indiana Fever 113–91 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 183.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Indiana Fever 113–91 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Reyer Venezia Mestre (Reyer Venezia) 109–97 Olimpia Milano Basketball Series A | Olimpia Milano vs Reyer Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3–1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | AUT -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Golden State Valkyries 78–58 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 162.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Dallas Wings 96–66 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 184.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Minnesota Lynx 107–74 Portland Fire WNBA | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Federico Valverde: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Connecticut Sun 75–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 161.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Connecticut Sun 75–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Golden State Valkyries 87–81 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 160.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Minnesota Lynx 100–76 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Minnesota Lynx 100–76 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Chicago Sky 75–82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 147.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Chicago Sky 75–82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 155.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Las Vegas Aces 101–91 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Connecticut Sun 80–89 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 168.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | NYK +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Connecticut Sun 80–89 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | France 3–1 Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) Fifa Friendly | FRA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Nanterre 92 78–89 AS Monaco LNB Elite | AS Monaco vs Nanterre 92 Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Los Angeles Sparks 89–72 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 160.5 | Lost |