Kalshi · Baseball
ChaosPredictor is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 66.7% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 50 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 50 have settled: 32 won, 18 lost, 64.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 48 | 48 | 32 | 66.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
ChaosPredictor mainly predicts MLB: 48 of the last 50 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 39.0%. In MLB, 32 of 48 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-19 11:59 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8–2 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Colorado 4–5 Seattle MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5–6 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4–12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 4–1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1–4 Texas Rangers MLB | TEX -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1–4 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1–4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Francisco Giants 3–6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6–5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3–4 Athletics MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 5–3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 2–1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 3–4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Miami Marlins 3–4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | New York Yankees 1–3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 5–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 4–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |