Kalshi · American football · Football
Elzurdo is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 66.7% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% |
| Leagues Cup | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| Fifa Friendly | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Elzurdo mainly predicts World Cup: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 43.9%. In World Cup, 8 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 08:06 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) 0–2 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) Africa Cup of Nations | MAR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | BRA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 1–1 Ind. del Valle Copa Libertadores | Ind. del Valle To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18–20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Leon 3–0 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Leon vs Salt Lake: Leon To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Club Necaxa 1–2 Leon Liga MX | Necaxa vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Club Necaxa 1–2 Leon Liga MX | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1–0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 4–0 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | RSL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami FC 1–2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Washington Nationals MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1–1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Miami FC 4–2 San Luis Leagues Cup | MIA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1–3 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0–1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0–1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Charlotte FC 3–0 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Charlotte vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1–1 LA Galaxy Major League Soccer | San Jose vs Los Angeles G Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Golden 85–106 Memphis NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 111–84 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Memphis 88–96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Memphis 88–96 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Memphis to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93–94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82–104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Chiba Lotte Marines 2–7 Orix Buffaloes NPB | Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte Marines winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Joao Felix: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia: 2+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Japan win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Fifa Friendly | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) Fifa Friendly | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1–2 Germany Fifa Friendly | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | France 1–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) Fifa Friendly | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2–2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Fifa Friendly | Sweden vs Greece Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-01 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) Fifa Friendly | Canada vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-01 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Fifa Friendly | NOR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | CD Nacional 1–0 Coquimbo Copa Libertadores | Nacional vs Coquimbo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | AS Saint-Étienne 0–0 Nice Ligue 1 | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Cleveland 93–130 New NBA | Game 4: New York at Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 4: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |