Kalshi · Baseball · American football · Football
Esperancia is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 67 picks, 67.2% win rate, $21K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 28 | 63.6% |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Brasileirão Série C | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
Esperancia mainly predicts MLB: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.2% hit rate over 67 orders, P&L $21K, ROI 23.9%. In MLB, 28 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 11:38 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Nationals 6–4 New York Mets MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego 10–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6–9 Colorado MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41–13 Oklahoma College Football | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14–21 Virginia Tech Hokies College Football | Under 33.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27–30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons College Football | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Seattle 5–7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Diego 4–11 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9–12 Cleveland MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 10–2 Texas MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | ATL -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 6–7 Cincinnati MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Francisco Giants 4–6 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–13 Kansas City Royals MLB | KC -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 3–18 Los Angeles Angels MLB | LAA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Dallas Wings 94–88 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks 9–0 Colorado Rockies MLB | AZ -8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) 2–1 Associação Desportiva Confiança (Confianca) Brasileirão Série C | Paysandu vs Confianca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5–8 New York Mets MLB | NYM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja Uni Catolica LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0–3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Jujuy 0–2 Club Tristán Suárez (Tristan Suarez) Primera Nacional | Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Volos 0–2 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Club Friendlies | Volos vs Kalamata Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Vasteraas SK 1–0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Vasteraas vs Djurgarden Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3–4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 6–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 6–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3–7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 5–3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | WSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago WS 2–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CLE -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Washington Nationals 5–3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago Fire FC 2–0 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Necaxa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Washington Nationals MLB | PHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Kuopion Palloseura 1–1 Uni Craiova UEFA Europa League | Kuopion Palloseura vs Uni Craiova Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Denver Summit FC 0–2 North Carolina Courage NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs North Carolina Courage Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Once Caldas 0–1 América de Cali (America Cali) Categoría Primera A | Once Caldas vs America Cali Winner | Won |