Kalshi · Football
Public prediction record of Mercy.octopus1990 on Kalshi: 20 entries, 73.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 31 won, 24 lost, 56.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| La Liga | 5 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Categoría Primera A | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Serie C | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| UEFA Europa League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | India men's national football team (India) 1–1 Panama men's national football team (Panama) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Andorra 1–2 Malta men's national football team (Malta) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 3–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Barnsley F.C. (Barnsley FC) 1–1 Leicester City F.C. (Leicester) League One | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5–6 Milwaukee MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5–6 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | San Diego Wave FC 2–0 Kansas City Current NWSL | San Diego Wave FC wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2–2 Defensa y Justicia Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Manchester City WFC Liverpool W England Women's Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RTS Widzew Łódź (Widzew Lodz) 2–2 Wieczysta Kraków (Wieczysta Krakow) Ekstraklasa | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Prostejov 2–2 Dukla Prague Czech National Football League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | JaPS 1–0 Ekenas Ykkösliiga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Valkeakoski 2–0 Klubi 04 Ykkösliiga | Valkeakoski wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Prostejov 2–2 Dukla Prague Czech National Football League | Dukla Prague wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Bandirma 0–1 Umraniye TFF 1. Lig | Umraniye wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Bandirma 0–1 Umraniye TFF 1. Lig | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5–4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas 3–4 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Alacranes 2–0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansión MX | Alacranes wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 3–0 Cienciano Copa Sudamericana | Montevideo City To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Bucaramanga 2–2 Ind. Medellin Categoría Primera A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Bucaramanga 2–2 Ind. Medellin Categoría Primera A | Bucaramanga wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 3–4 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Bucaramanga 2–2 Ind. Medellin Categoría Primera A | Ind. Medellin wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Club Real Tomayapo (CD Real Tomayapo) 0–2 Oriente Bolivian Primera División | Oriente wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Houston 6–2 Kansas City MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons F.C. (Milton Keynes) League One | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Renate 0–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi Serie C | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Renate 0–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi Serie C | Renate wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Union Brescia 2–2 Treviso FBC Serie C | Treviso FBC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | FK Železničar Pančevo (FK Zeleznicar Pancevo) 1–2 FK Crvena zvezda Serbian SuperLiga | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1–3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 1–3 Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) UEFA Europa League | Celtic wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Plzen 0–3 Union Gilloise UEFA Europa League | Union Gilloise wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Sociedad 1–2 AFC Bournemouth UEFA Europa League | Bournemouth wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1–0 Getafe CF La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7–4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Levante UD Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Pending |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 0–1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |