Kalshi · Football
Noepd is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 70.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 37 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 37 have settled: 22 won, 15 lost, 59.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| Liga MX | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Major League Soccer | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| UEFA Nations League | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Noepd mainly predicts World Cup: 14 of the last 37 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 50.7%. In World Cup, 9 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 04:46 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2–4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1–1 Germany UEFA Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Miami FC 2–2 San Diego FC Major League Soccer | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia 2–2 Miami FC Major League Soccer | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Nashville SC 4–1 Miami FC Major League Soccer | Nashville vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Leagues Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Cincinnati vs Atlas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3–1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3–1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3–1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | America 3–0 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2–2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0–1 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Miami FC 3–2 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1–2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0–1 America Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0–1 America Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Pumas UNAM 0–3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Leon 2–3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Montreal 0–0 Toronto FC Major League Soccer | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |