Kalshi · Baseball · American football
PolishPapa is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 64.7% win rate, $347 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 42 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 41 have settled: 24 won, 17 lost, 58.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 25 | 25 | 16 | 64.0% |
| NFL | 10 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
PolishPapa mainly predicts MLB: 25 of the last 42 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $347, ROI 30.2%. In MLB, 16 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 06:55 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Houston Astros 3–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | CAR Panthers DET Lions NFL | Over 51.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 4–1 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30–27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | CIN +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | FLA +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Milwaukee 8–4 St. Louis MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Philadelphia 6–4 Milwaukee MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Baltimore 0–3 Milwaukee MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | CHI Bears 3–9 MIN Vikings NFL | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Baltimore 5–6 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati 2–8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7–4 Milwaukee MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20–13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | PIT -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 8–6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41–13 Wisconsin Badgers College Football | ND +21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati Reds 12–8 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 5–9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Chicago Cubs 4–9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Milwaukee 5–3 Texas MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Milwaukee 6–1 Texas MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3–2 Milwaukee MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Stanford Cardinal 37–27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | Under 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Under 34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | San Francisco Giants 3–0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9–10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle 4–0 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Team Over 106.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | SAS +6.5 | Won |