Kalshi · Football
TheMugomaKing is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 82.8% win rate, $44K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 58 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 42 won, 16 lost, 72.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% |
| Premier League | 11 | 11 | 8 | 72.7% |
| La Liga | 9 | 9 | 9 | 100.0% |
| Leagues Cup | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| UEFA Champions League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
TheMugomaKing mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 58 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.8% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $44K, ROI 32.2%. In World Cup, 9 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-27 03:26 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5–3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7–0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | BMU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5–0 Norwich City F.C. (Norwich) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7–2 Santander La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2–3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 2–1 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | Como wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD 2–4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3–0 SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) Bundesliga | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5–0 Bodoe/Glimt UEFA Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 6–1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | FC Barcelona 5–1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) UEFA Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 6–21 UNLV Rebels College Football | UNLV -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Stanford Cardinal 6–45 Miami (FL) College Football | MIA +35.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5–2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United vs Ipswich Town Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Liverpool vs Nottingham Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–2 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Premier League | Liverpool vs Nottingham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Genoa CFC (Genoa) 0–2 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Genoa vs Napoli Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Brentford vs Tottenham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2–0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Arsenal vs Coventry Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Miami FC 4–2 San Luis Leagues Cup | Miami vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | FC Dallas 2–0 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | Dallas vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | FC Dallas 2–0 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | Dallas vs Queretaro Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3–0 Seattle Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1–2 Orlando Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1–2 Orlando Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Major League Soccer | Cincinnati vs Vancouver Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |