Kalshi · Baseball
changing.swordfish4920 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 73.3% win rate, $422 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 36 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% |
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
changing.swordfish4920 mainly predicts World Cup: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.3% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $422, ROI 27.6%. In World Cup, 12 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-21 00:31 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots 20–3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | NE -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Houston Astros 4–2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Boston Red Sox 4–1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid 2–1 Inter Milan (Inter) UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2–4 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Boston Red Sox 6–1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | TB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington Nationals 10–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orix Buffaloes 2–3 Chiba Lotte Marines NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 6–2 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC 1–0 FC Dallas Major League Soccer | San Diego FC vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Minnesota Twins 2–0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Boston Red Sox 0–6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Standard 0–1 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Standard vs Juventus Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | URU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium win the 1st Half | Lost |