Kalshi · Football
chapoGuz is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 69.7% win rate, $325 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 37 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 37 have settled: 26 won, 11 lost, 70.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 23 | 23 | 15 | 65.2% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Saudi Professional League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Categoría Primera A | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
chapoGuz mainly predicts World Cup: 23 of the last 37 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.7% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $325, ROI 22.6%. In World Cup, 15 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-29 12:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tijuana de Caliente 2–0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) Al Nassr Club Saudi Professional League | Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 1–1 Once Caldas Categoría Primera A | Junior vs Once Caldas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Pumas UNAM 1–1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Luis 1–1 CF Pachuca Liga MX | San Luis vs Pachuca Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2–2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Newcastle vs Liverpool Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Necaxa 2–1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2–2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1–0 Juarez Liga MX | Guadalajara vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Tijuana de Caliente 1–0 Leon Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |