Kalshi · Basketball · Football
Public prediction record of chief.pill on Kalshi: 15 entries, 73.3% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Leagues Cup | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66–77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9–7 Athletics MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Trinec 0–0 Usti nad Labem Czech National Football League | Trinec vs Usti nad Labem Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Major League Soccer | Vancouver win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | America 3–0 San Luis Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury 85–88 Portland Fire WNBA | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Seattle Storm 80–82 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 1–1 RC Strasbourg Alsace Club Friendlies | Newcastle vs Strasbourg Alsace Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Chunichi Dragons 0–11 Yomiuri Giants NPB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2–1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2–1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0–0 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0–0 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Atlante vs Toluca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New Orleans Saints 20–24 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL | Over 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7–1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Genclerbirligi) 2–1 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Süper Lig | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chicago Bears 34–10 Cleveland Browns NFL | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1–0 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Inter vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Diego Wave FC 1–1 Denver Summit FC NWSL | San Diego Wave FC vs Denver Summit FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82–84 Portland Fire WNBA | Seattle wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Reds 1–0 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | CD Alcoyano (Alcoyano) Alicante Club Friendlies | Alcoyano vs Alicante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–1 Macara Copa Sudamericana | Santos vs Macara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Seattle 1–2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Guadalajara win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Leagues Cup | Cincinnati vs Atlas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 6–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6–8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Dream 107–95 Toronto Tempo WNBA | ATL +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1–3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) Minnesota Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | New York City FC 2–0 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | New York City vs Santos Laguna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | Over 18.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | NYM -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Orix Buffaloes 1–3 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles NPB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 202.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3–0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado 1–0 Austin FC Major League Soccer | Colorado vs Austin Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8–12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 4–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Everton de Viña del Mar (Everton Vina Del Mar) 3–4 Club Social y Deportivo Colo Colo (Colo-Colo) Liga de Primera | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5–9 New York Yankees MLB | Under 13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5–9 New York Yankees MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1–2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | D. Concepcion 2–0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Liga de Primera | DCO +2.5 | Won |