Kalshi · Baseball
clumsy.bear1999 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 60.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 50 | 50 | 30 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NPB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
clumsy.bear1999 mainly predicts MLB: 50 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 18.0%. In MLB, 30 of 50 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-20 07:29 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | St. Louis 5–8 Washington MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–9 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8–7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8–7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Colorado Rockies 7–8 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 San Francisco Giants MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 4–3 Yomiuri Giants NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | San Francisco Giants 4–6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Athletics 8–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | San Francisco Giants 4–6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–6 Texas MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 6–7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Detroit Tigers 11–7 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 2–12 New York Mets MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Detroit Tigers 11–7 Colorado Rockies MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 9–1 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 5–7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 5–7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami Marlins 2–6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago WS 0–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | San Francisco Giants 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | San Diego Padres 3–2 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Detroit Tigers 5–4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Miami 4–9 New York Mets MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Chicago WS 10–1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Chicago WS 10–1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Colorado Rockies 8–10 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Texas 8–6 Tampa Bay MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | San Diego Padres 4–3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Pittsburgh Pirates 6–1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Pittsburgh Pirates 6–1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Cincinnati Reds 12–8 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Seattle Mariners 2–6 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Colorado Rockies 10–7 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 1–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 5–6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 5–6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | New York Mets 5–9 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Angels 7–0 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Won |