Kalshi · American football · Football
Public prediction record of competitive.pangolin5202 on Kalshi: 26 entries, 84.6% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 53 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 53 have settled: 37 won, 16 lost, 69.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Women's Champions League | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Major League Soccer | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| UEFA Nations League | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Fifa Friendly | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
Across the settled orders we have collected: 84.6% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $284, ROI 52.4%.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-01 10:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4–0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Fifa Friendly | Argentina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4–0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Fifa Friendly | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Paris FC W 2–2 Arsenal WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Paris FC W 2–2 Arsenal WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 1–1 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 1–1 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) UEFA Nations League | Faroe Islands wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 8–12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Colorado 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chelsea W 1–0 FK Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Chelsea W 1–0 FK Austria Wien W UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | FC Barcelona W 5–2 Paris FC W UEFA Women's Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | FC Barcelona W 5–2 Paris FC W UEFA Women's Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Birmingham Legion FC 4–0 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Arsenal WFC 1–0 Koege UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Arsenal WFC 1–0 Koege UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Bayern 2–2 Manchester City WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14–26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1–1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1–1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Final score Fulham FC wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 2–2 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer | Los Angeles F wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20–33 Miami (FL) College Football | Over 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Ayutthaya Utd 1–2 Uthai Thani FC Thai League 1 | Uthai Thani FC wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Ayutthaya Utd 1–2 Uthai Thani FC Thai League 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Miami FC 2–2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Miami FC 2–2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami FC 2–2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Boston College Eagles 28–21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights College Football | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1–0 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Toulouse FC 0–1 Lille OSC (Lille) Ligue 1 | Tie wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Toulouse FC 0–1 Lille OSC (Lille) Ligue 1 | Lille wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | America 2–0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | America vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Miami FC 7–1 Montreal Major League Soccer | Miami vs Montreal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Philadelphia 2–2 Miami FC Major League Soccer | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Portland Fire (Portland) Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2–2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |