Kalshi · Football
conventional.caribou5535 is a UEFA Nations League pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 75.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 23 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 23 have settled: 12 won, 11 lost, 52.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Ligue 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
conventional.caribou5535 mainly predicts UEFA Nations League: 8 of the last 23 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 19.6%. In UEFA Nations League, 6 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-29 03:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Turkiye 1–4 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) UEFA Nations League | Turkiye wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0–1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) UEFA Nations League | Croatia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Champions League | Club Brugge wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Valencia 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | PSG wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Espanyol vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2–1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | PSG vs Aston Villa: Aston Villa To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 3–1 Bilbao Club Friendlies | Marseille vs Bilbao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3–0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Mallorca vs PSG Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2–2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0–3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |