Kalshi · Basketball
convinced.buck8180 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 76.9% win rate, $455 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 53 have settled: 21 won, 32 lost, 39.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 24 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% |
| NBA | 15 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% |
| WNBA | 15 | 13 | 10 | 76.9% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
convinced.buck8180 mainly predicts World Cup: 24 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.9% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $455, ROI 76.1%. In World Cup, 3 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-24 07:50 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65–83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Breanna Stewart: 8+ rebounds | Pending |
| 2026-08-30 | Seattle Storm 74–90 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Cameron Brink: 6+ rebounds | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Minnesota Lynx 66–80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Olivia Miles: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Washington Mystics 84–94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Natasha Howard: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Washington Mystics 84–94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Natasha Howard: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Dallas Wings 91–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Dallas Wings 91–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Arike Ogunbowale: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Dallas Wings 91–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | Arike Ogunbowale: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Overtime | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Las Vegas Aces 87–92 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Jackie Young: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Indiana Fever 98–87 Dallas Wings WNBA | Aliyah Boston: 8+ rebounds | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Liberty 85–81 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Rae Burrell: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Las Vegas Aces 86–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | Jackie Young: 20+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Golden State Valkyries 96–79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Marina Mabrey: 20+ points | Pending |
| 2026-07-28 | Seattle Storm 95–105 Indiana Fever WNBA | Caitlin Clark: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | New York Mets 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118–91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127–114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127–114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 4: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |