Kalshi · American football · Football
crack.stand is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 50 picks, 73.5% win rate, $229 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 42 won, 17 lost, 71.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 23 | 65.7% |
| Major League Soccer | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| College Football | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
crack.stand mainly predicts World Cup: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.5% hit rate over 50 orders, P&L $229, ROI 10.9%. In World Cup, 23 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 07:27 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio St. College Football | Ohio St. wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1–2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) UEFA Nations League | Moldova wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Israel men's national football team (Israel) 0–3 Ireland UEFA Nations League | Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC 0–5 Philadelphia Major League Soccer | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24–22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2–1 Atletico UEFA Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2–1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24–10 Washington State Cougars College Football | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Ohio St. 56–3 Ball State Cardinals College Football | OSU +50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | Under 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 0–2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Tie wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Washington Nationals 6–3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1–4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | TCU +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | New England 1–1 New York City FC Major League Soccer | New England vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Atlanta 2–1 Kansas City Major League Soccer | Atlanta vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Orlando 1–1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer | Orlando vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2–1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | PSG vs Aston Villa: PSG To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | New England 0–2 Houston Major League Soccer | New England vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC Major League Soccer | New York City vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia 1–0 Seattle Major League Soccer | Philadelphia vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0–2 Charlotte FC Major League Soccer | New York RB vs Charlotte Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5–1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5–1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Germany 7–1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0–1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |