Kalshi · Baseball · American football
dan.joyce is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 63.0% win rate, $319 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 21 won, 13 lost, 61.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 24 | 24 | 15 | 62.5% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dota 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
dan.joyce mainly predicts MLB: 24 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.0% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $319, ROI 23.3%. In MLB, 15 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-22 12:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87–86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17–20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Seattle Mariners 4–7 Athletics MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Mets 4–1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3–7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Baltimore Orioles 0–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Athletics 2–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit Tigers 0–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5–10 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5–10 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay 6–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Kansas City 1–15 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Angels 1–8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Boston 2–10 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Baltimore 6–1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 2–1 Thailand Dota 2 | Philippines to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Philadelphia 6–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |