Kalshi · American football
dear.thigh is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 80.0% win rate, $777 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 26 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| College Football | 20 | 20 | 16 | 80.0% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Leagues Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
dear.thigh mainly predicts World Cup: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $777, ROI 49.8%. In World Cup, 8 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 08:18 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 58–7 Howard Bison College Football | Over 63.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 58–7 Howard Bison College Football | RUTG -48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | IND -33.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Athletics 9–7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Sacramento State Hornets 10–31 North Dakota St. College Football | NDSU -41.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Sacramento State Hornets 10–31 North Dakota St. College Football | NDSU +33.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Oregon State Beavers 52–17 Montana Grizzlies College Football | Over 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Oregon State Beavers 52–17 Montana Grizzlies College Football | ORST -27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Oregon State Beavers 52–17 Montana Grizzlies College Football | ORST -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Oregon State Beavers 52–17 Montana Grizzlies College Football | ORST -23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52–38 Purdue Boilermakers College Football | Over 74.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52–38 Purdue Boilermakers College Football | Over 68.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | Over 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Auburn Tigers 39–44 Florida Gators College Football | Over 72.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39–44 Florida Gators College Football | FLA -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39–44 Florida Gators College Football | Over 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50–36 Florida State Seminoles College Football | Over 72.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 35–42 USC Trojans College Football | Over 79.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28–20 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | Over 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84–0 Portland State Vikings College Football | ORE -78.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Colorado Rockies 9–3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2–1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Mets 5–7 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians 7–6 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Over 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3–1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | MEX -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | MEX -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |