Kalshi · Baseball · American football
dry.treefrog4085 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 82.3% win rate, $796 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 20 won, 11 lost, 64.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| College Football | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| KBO | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
dry.treefrog4085 mainly predicts MLB: 10 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.3% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $796, ROI 32.7%. In MLB, 7 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-27 03:47 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17–20 Texas Longhorns College Football | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Colorado 2–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Seattle 0–7 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Colorado 2–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Hanwha Eagles 3–13 KT Wiz KBO | KT Wiz wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | MIZZ -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Lotte Giants 3–16 KT Wiz KBO | KTW -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Lotte Giants 3–16 KT Wiz KBO | KT Wiz wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | New York City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13–14 Colorado Buffaloes College Football | GT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0–0 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) LigaPro | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | ARS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | UNLV Rebels 21–27 Memphis Tigers College Football | UNLV -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | San Francisco Giants 6–10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1–4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–5 Colorado Rockies MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Botafogo FC 4–2 Juventude RS Brasileirão Série B | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 0–8 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Boston Red Sox 6–3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2–1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Houston Astros 8–5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | FC Thun 1–1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) UEFA Champions League | Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | FC Thun 1–1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) UEFA Champions League | Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1–0 Górnik Zabrze (Gornik Zabrze) UEFA Champions League | Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze Winner | Lost |