Kalshi · Football
eiderr is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 31 picks, 64.5% win rate, $131 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 32 won, 23 lost, 58.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| Brasileirão Série A | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| AFC Champions League Elite | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Copa Sudamericana | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
eiderr mainly predicts World Cup: 14 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.5% hit rate over 31 orders, P&L $131, ROI 8.5%. In World Cup, 9 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 10:10 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | USA 4–2 Chile Fifa Friendly | Chile wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Juventus W 1–2 Benfica Lisbon UEFA Women's Champions League | Benfica Lisbon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 2–1 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Liga Profesional | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Internacional de Bogota 2–3 Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) Categoría Primera A | Internacional de Bogota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Once Caldas 1–0 Tolima Categoría Primera A | Once Caldas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Botafogo FC 3–2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileirão Série A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Botafogo FC 3–2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileirão Série A | Gremio wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Botafogo FC 3–2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileirão Série A | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Dorados de Sinaloa (Dorados) 1–1 Cancún F.C. (Cancun FC) Liga de Expansión MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Dorados de Sinaloa (Dorados) 1–1 Cancún F.C. (Cancun FC) Liga de Expansión MX | Dorados wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2–3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3–1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 2–1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Vallecano wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Johor Darul Ta'zim F.C. (Johor Darul Ta'zim) 1–1 Buriram United F.C. (Buriram) AFC Champions League Elite | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Botafogo FC 1–3 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileirão Série B | BOT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1–0 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) Primeira Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Al-Shamal 1–1 Al Ittihad AFC Champions League Elite | Al-Ittihad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Al-Shamal 1–1 Al Ittihad AFC Champions League Elite | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 4–3 America Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 4–3 America Liga MX | CRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 0–2 New York City FC Major League Soccer | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 2–4 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Serie A | VEN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 2–4 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 1–1 Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) Allsvenskan | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | New York City FC 1–2 New England Major League Soccer | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | D.C. United (D.C. United SC) 2–1 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Major League Soccer | DC United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | D.C. United (D.C. United SC) 2–1 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Major League Soccer | DCU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Palmeiras 1–0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Copa Libertadores | PAL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Copa Sudamericana | Atletico Mineiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Copa Sudamericana | SAN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2–0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Copa Sudamericana | Santos wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Champions League | AVL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) Saudi Professional League | HAZ -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 4–3 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) LigaPro | Orense wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Vitoria 1–0 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileirão Série A | Vitoria wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe CF 1–1 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Getafe wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Asteras Tripoli F.C. (Asteras Tripolis) 0–2 POT Iraklis Super League Greece | POT Iraklis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Al Ittihad Alexandria 1–0 Asyut Petroleum Egyptian Premier League | Al Ittihad wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Al Ittihad Alexandria 1–0 Asyut Petroleum Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Hungary women's national football team (Hungary W) 82–73 Republic of Korea W Women's FIBA | Hungary wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 5–1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Toluca To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |