Kalshi · Baseball
ethical.octopus1902 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 73.7% win rate, $228 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 22 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 22 have settled: 15 won, 7 lost, 68.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 14 | 73.7% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
ethical.octopus1902 mainly predicts MLB: 19 of the last 22 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.7% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $228, ROI 18.9%. In MLB, 14 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-09 04:17 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3–7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86–90 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Texas Rangers 5–4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7–9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Cincinnati Reds 5–4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Baltimore Orioles 3–1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | New York Yankees 2–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7–13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | New York Mets 0–2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Braves 4–2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | New York Mets 2–6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Atlanta Braves 5–4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105–112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets 7–3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Won |