Kalshi · Basketball · American football
false.guilt is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 76.5% win rate, $288 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 27 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 27 have settled: 15 won, 12 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
false.guilt mainly predicts WNBA: 12 of the last 27 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.5% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $288, ROI 118.0%. In WNBA, 8 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 08:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3–9 MIN Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39–22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Iowa Hawkeyes 13–16 Iowa St. College Football | Iowa St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Iowa Hawkeyes 13–16 Iowa St. College Football | IOWA +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Minnesota 59–7 Eastern Illinois Panthers College Football | MINN -63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Kansas City Royals 2–1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7–6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108–100 Indiana Fever WNBA | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Team Coop 122–129 Team Spoon WNBA | SPN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Team Coop 122–129 Team Spoon WNBA | SPN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Minnesota Lynx 104–100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | MIN -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89–90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | MIN -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Dallas Wings 77–85 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Minnesota 3–12 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx 79–84 Washington Mystics WNBA | MIN -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Golden State Valkyries 75–81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Los Angeles Sparks 83–99 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Minnesota Lynx 107–74 Portland Fire WNBA | MIN -18.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Las Vegas Aces 100–97 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Minnesota 6–8 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-01 | Phoenix Mercury 77–111 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -4.5 | Won |