Kalshi · Basketball · American football
gear.son is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 76.2% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 40 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 40 have settled: 23 won, 17 lost, 57.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 19 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| College Football | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| NBA | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
gear.son mainly predicts World Cup: 19 of the last 40 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.2% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 28.5%. In World Cup, 7 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 13:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | CLEM -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | CLEM -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | CLEM -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28–20 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | CLEM -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Clemson Tigers 22–7 Georgia Southern Eagles College Football | CLEM -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | LSU +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | Clemson to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13–14 Colorado Buffaloes College Football | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | SAS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | SAS +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | SAS +6.5 | Won |