Kalshi · Basketball · American football
Public prediction record of hailmarry on Kalshi: 20 entries, 65.0% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 16 | 45.7% |
| College Football | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31–24 Missouri Tigers College Football | Missouri wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27–41 Oregon Ducks College Football | Over 67.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | FLA -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17–20 Texas Longhorns College Football | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | IND +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Over 66.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | OSU -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 2–1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals College Football | MISS -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24–10 Washington State Cougars College Football | WASH -24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | LSU -39.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Qarabağ FK (Qarabag) 0–0 CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC 1–0 Montreal Major League Soccer | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | IF Elfsborg 1–3 IK Sirius Allsvenskan | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0–1 America Liga MX | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | FC Tulsa 1–0 El Paso Locomotive FC USL Championship | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Charleston Battery (Charleston) 1–1 Sacramento Republic FC USL Championship | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Juarez 0–1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | PFC Levski Sofia (PFK Levski Sofia) 4–0 Banja Luka UEFA Champions League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | IC Escaldes 1–1 Lincoln Red Imps UEFA Champions League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Kuopion Palloseura 2–3 FK Vardar (FK Vardar Skopje) UEFA Champions League | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Michael Olise: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Kairat (Kairat) 2–1 Sutjeska Nikšić (Sutjeska Niksic) UEFA Champions League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Michael Olise: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Matheus Cunha: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Omar Marmoush: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0–4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0–0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |