Kalshi · Baseball · Football
hard.hat is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 68.2% win rate, $549 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 36 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 21 won, 14 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 13 | 68.4% |
| College Football | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
| KBO | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Primera División (Uruguay) | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
hard.hat mainly predicts MLB: 19 of the last 36 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.2% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $549, ROI 23.7%. In MLB, 13 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 07:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 24–21 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) College Football | VT +14.5 | Pending |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 8–12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3–1 New York Mets MLB | TEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2–4 Washington MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 1–6 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20–24 PHI Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose St. 10–26 Fresno State Bulldogs College Football | San Jose St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | MISS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28–20 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | UNC -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Cincinnati Reds 6–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | St. Louis Cardinals 5–6 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians 6–3 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 5–7 San Diego Padres MLB | SD +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers 14–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | LAD -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | SSG Landers 3–3 KT Wiz KBO | KT Wiz vs SSG Landers winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Colorado Rockies 5–11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7–5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6–5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Lotte Giants 8–5 NC Dinos KBO | NC Dinos vs Lotte Giants winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4–8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Dep Maldonado 2–2 Racing Club de Montevideo Primera División (Uruguay) | Dep Maldonado vs Racing Club Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 2–1 Trinidense APF División de Honor | Libertad vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0–3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Socuellamos 0–3 Villarrobledo Club Friendlies | Socuellamos vs Villarrobledo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3–1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Jeju SK FC 1–2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Jeju SK vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long F.C. (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC) Chinese Super League | Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Kiwoom Heroes 5–3 SSG Landers KBO | SSG Landers vs Kiwoom Heroes winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | San Luis 0–0 Tijuana de Caliente Liga MX | San Luis vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |