Kalshi · Baseball · American football · Football
hard.need is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 87.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| NFL | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 8 | 100.0% |
| College Football | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Premier League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
hard.need mainly predicts World Cup: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 87.0% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 33.5%. In World Cup, 5 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 11:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27–35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21–18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) UEFA Nations League | Portugal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21–18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tijuana de Caliente 2–3 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 9–12 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | San Francisco 0–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | New York Yankees 10–2 Baltimore MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17–21 Army Black Knights College Football | Temple wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17–21 Army Black Knights College Football | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0–2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) UEFA Nations League | Belgium wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | Kylian Mbappe: First Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Boston 2–3 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20–24 PHI Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Mets 2–7 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17–20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3–9 MIN Vikings NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 1–1 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose St. 10–26 Fresno State Bulldogs College Football | Fresno St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Diego 7–6 Miami MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1–1 AS Roma UEFA Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1–1 AS Roma UEFA Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 0–2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 0–2 Bilbao La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | America 2–0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | America 2–0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | America vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0–2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1–4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2–0 Bilbao La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2–0 Bilbao La Liga | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2–2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1–2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | Bayern Munich win the cup | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 2–0 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) 1–0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Cup | Middlesbrough vs Wrexham: Middlesbrough To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) 1–0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Hradec Králové 0–1 Besiktas UEFA Europa League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Jagiellonia Białystok (Jagiellonia) 2–1 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) UEFA Europa League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Jagiellonia Białystok (Jagiellonia) 2–1 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) UEFA Europa League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Kuopion Palloseura 1–1 Uni Craiova UEFA Europa League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | AC Sparta Prague (Sparta Prague) 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) UEFA Champions League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Braves 4–2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |