Kalshi · Basketball
its5.4nate is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $551 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 29 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% |
| WNBA | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| College Football | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Eredivisie | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
its5.4nate mainly predicts MLB: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $551, ROI 38.8%. In MLB, 12 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 11:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Phoenix Mercury 82–100 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17–34 Liberty Flames College Football | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17–34 Liberty Flames College Football | LIB -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Texas 3–6 New York Mets MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5–4 Minnesota MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 7–3 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–6 Texas MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31–30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game: New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 2–2 Den Haag Eredivisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0–0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0–0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | San Francisco Giants 7–2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Stanford Cardinal 37–27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | Hawai'i to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37–27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | STAN -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | TCU -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 2–1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 1–0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Seattle Storm 90–78 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 167.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Chicago WS 10–4 Texas MLB | Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Seattle Mariners 0–6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Phoenix Mercury 84–94 Washington Mystics WNBA | Sonia Citron: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3–2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Minnesota Lynx 66–80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0–5 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13–34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 189.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 184.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Team Over 88.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Phoenix wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Boston Red Sox 3–2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Chicago Sky 73–70 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Boston Red Sox 6–4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cloud9 0–2 BESTIA Valorant | Cloud9 to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5–0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7–5 Chicago WS MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7–5 Chicago WS MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2–1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75–82 New York Liberty WNBA | New York wins the 2nd half | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75–82 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75–82 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 179.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Indiana Fever 98–87 Dallas Wings WNBA | Over 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |