Kalshi · Basketball · American football
merveus03 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 62.5% win rate, $898 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 54 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 22 won, 32 lost, 40.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 34 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% |
| WNBA | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
merveus03 mainly predicts MLB: 34 of the last 54 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $898, ROI 36.7%. In MLB, 10 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-19 12:18 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 4–3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Sky 93–86 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Las Vegas Aces 82–97 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 4–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Toronto Tempo 95–101 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Boston Red Sox 11–1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 6–5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury 85–88 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3–5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Seattle Seahawks 7–17 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Baltimore Ravens 24–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chicago Cubs 4–8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3–4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Baltimore Ravens 24–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Baltimore to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York J 16–24 Tampa Bay NFL | Tampa Bay to win | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons 7–27 Denver Broncos NFL | Atlanta to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–8 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 8–2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Kansas City Royals 6–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 5–1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3–7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1–4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92–81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3–0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 5–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Colorado 1–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | New York Yankees 2–10 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Portland Fire 71–61 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Portland winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127–114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Lost |