Kalshi · Baseball · American football
mess.dawn is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 63.8% win rate, $27K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 44 | 44 | 27 | 61.4% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| College Football | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
mess.dawn mainly predicts MLB: 44 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $27K, ROI 22.1%. In MLB, 27 of 44 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-01 13:05 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4–1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Houston Astros 3–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | NYY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4–3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2–1 Miami MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2–1 St. Louis MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2–4 Minnesota MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–0 San Diego MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Kansas City 11–14 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees 2–0 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 6–5 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Indiana Hoosiers 38–0 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers College Football | IND -44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84–0 Portland State Vikings College Football | ORE -75.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84–0 Portland State Vikings College Football | ORE -72.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | NYY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chicago Cubs 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | CHC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Boston College Eagles 28–21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights College Football | Under 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago Cubs 12–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | CHC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati 34–15 Boston College Eagles College Football | Under 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7–6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6–1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins 4–0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19–16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennessee Titans 19–16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | TEN -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5–3 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 8–1 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13–34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7–5 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles R 34–0 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | Under 36.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Dolphins 3–26 New York Giants NFL | Under 36.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 13–33 Green Bay NFL | Under 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Pittsburgh Steelers 0–17 New York Jets NFL | Under 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4–1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |