Kalshi · Basketball · American football
moon.breath is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 20 won, 40 lost, 33.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 37 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| College Football | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
moon.breath mainly predicts World Cup: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 56.3%. In World Cup, 11 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-28 08:17 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27–35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24–16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | BUF +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Indianapolis Colts 19–17 Houston Texans NFL | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27–41 Oregon Ducks College Football | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | FLA -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Ohio St. 42–19 Illinois Fighting Illini College Football | OSU -24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | IND -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20–13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17–24 New Orleans Saints NFL | BAL -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU Texans 6–20 CIN Bengals NFL | HOU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | LSU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | SEN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | SAS +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104–105 New NBA | SAS +7.5 | Won |